MPM - Over Time
(Mortality Probability Models)
      
Predicted Death Rate ( MPM 0 ) % Predicted Death Rate

=

logit= vk
h
Predicted Death Rate ( MPM 24)%
Predicted Death Rate ( MPM 48)%

Logit = (Probability MPM -0) * 6.3373 - (Probability ( MPM 0 - MPM 24)) * 5.1914 - (Probability( MPM 24- MPM 48)) * 3.0546 - 2.9287
Predicted Death Rate = (eLogit) / (1 + eLogit)
 

Ref : Lemeshow S et al. Refining intensive care unit outcome prediction by using changing probabilities of mortality. Crit Care Med. 1988;16:470-477